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·       Author: Fred Ikle

o   Context: written in the middle of Vietnam

·       Publishing: Columbia University Press:1971/2005

·       Central Proposition:

o   People spend much more time re how and why wars begin than they do re how they end - xvii

o   My thought: What do we do about it, though?  

·       Supporting Information

o   Successful democracies have refrained from seeking revenge - xii

o   Vietnam - xx-xxi

§  Forces must not be committed w/out clear strat

§  Should not be sent merely to demonstrate resolve

§  Should not enter war based on strat of inflicting punishment

§  May hasten defeat...important for US & other modern democracies to avoid...otherwise, will lose political support @ home & with allies

o   **Good quote: "planning effort similar to designing an elaborate and expensive bridge that reached only halfway across the river" - 5

o   As fighting continues, purpose changes - 8

o   **Gov's find it hard to back out b/c both sides want a peace that will bring greater and more lasting security than prior to war - 9

o   Aim of preventing future wars often overshadows original reason for war - 10

§  Each side risks losing ongoing war while trying to improve position for future conflict

§  Fighting is not the only way to reduce threat of future conflict

§  Reconciliation can be successful and today's enemy can be tomorrow's enemy - 11

o   Means become ends

§  One view: nations fight wars in pursuit of postwar objectives

§  2nd view: wars serve many purposes, not the lest of which is to further personal and organizational interests - 14

§  ANSWER: A mixture of the two - 15

o   **Good quote: "If the decision to end a war were simply to spring from a rational calculation about gains and losses for the nation as a whole, it should be no harder to get out of a war than to get into one" - 16

o   Military estimates are unreliable because - 20

§  It's hard to estimate potential on both sides to mobilize men and resources (neither side has committed everything)

§  Possibilities of outside help

§  Pressures of war's violence on public morale

o   Stuggle within: Patriots against "traitors" - doves usually called traitors, but hawks can ultimately be just as or more detrimental to future of nation - 60

§  State has strong institutions to combat treason via "dove," or helping the enemy, but much weaker defenses against the hawk - 61

§  "Treason can help our enemies destroy our country by making them stronger; adventurism can destroy our country by making our enemies more numerous" - 61 (See: Athens)...may wind up trading kingdom for distant province - 82

o   Neither hawks nor doves has actual plan for future - after the peace - 85

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